Generally speaking, the tensioning idlers I've seen tend to move the belt in a direction that causes more pulley-to-belt engagement.
The blue line looks like it would have about 180 degrees of engagement. I've seen worse designs. Much worse.
But the green line looks like it would have almost 270 degrees of engagement, or 50% more than the blue line. Much better.
I'll take the green line.
But if the tractor won't move no matter which way you install it, there must be some other problem. Sure you have the right belt?